Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Financial Update

Energy stocks help TSX claw back losses; N.Y. weak on Alcoa earnings- The Canadian Press
TORONTO - The Toronto stock market closed sharply higher Tuesday following a steep loss as energy stocks revived and financials advanced after Bank of Montreal (TSX:BMO) bought a piece of troubled U.S. insurer American International Group.

· TSX +168.22 to 8961.55
· DOW -25.41 pts to 8448.56
· Dollar 0.8224 USD
· Oil +$1.09to $38.87 per barrel.
· Gold +$4.30 to $825.00 USD per ounce
· www.bankofcanada.ca/en/rates/bond-look.html Canadian bond prices

Oilsands on agenda for Obama visit: Harper

Renata D'Aliesio and Jason Fekete, Calgary Herald Published: Tuesday, January 13, 2009
The oilsands will be on the agenda when Prime Minister Stephen Harper meets with Barack Obama on his first foreign trip as president of the United States.

Harper told a local morning radio show today that his Conservative government wants to work together with its southern neighbour on energy and environmental issues, and he'll stress this point when Obama travels to Canada soon after his Jan. 20 inauguration as America's 44th president.

The prime minister acknowledged there are concerns about the environmental footprint of the oilsands -- the largest industrial development in Canada.

"To be frank on the oilsands, we've got to do a better job environmentally. We hear a lot of pressure on that," Harper said.

"At the same time, the development of these things is pretty important, in our judgment, to North American energy security. So I think there's balance to be seen there."

Harper, who said he's "delighted" Obama has chosen Canada as his first foreign visit, pointed out the United States has its own environmental challenges related to energy production.

"The United States is a big country for coal-powered electrical generation. That's pretty dirty, too," the prime minister said.

Harper is in Calgary today meeting with a dozen heavy hitters from the business community. He held a 60- to 90-minute meeting at the Harry Hays building downtown to get their input on what sort of economic stimulus should be in the Jan. 27 federal budget.

Those included in the business round table are oilpatch giants Randy Eresman from EnCana, Murray Edwards of Canadian Natural Resources, Hal Kvisle from TransCanada, Rick George from Suncor and Ron Brenneman from Petro-Canada. Also taking part in the meeting are senior executives from other sectors, including Sean Durfy from WestJet, Steve Snyder of TransAlta, Nancy Southern from ATCO, Ron Mannix of Coril Holdings, Fred Green from Canadian Pacific Railway and George Gosbee of Tristone Capital.

It's the latest round of pre-budget consultations Ottawa is conducting with business leaders, labour groups and ordinary Canadians in advance of its fiscal blueprint. Harper has said the budget will be the biggest in a long time, while Finance Minister Jim Flaherty has promised extraordinary measures.

The prime minster told the Calgary radio station that his government is considering tax cuts for Canada's middle class and enhancements to the Employment Insurance program.

"It's a little difficult to do a temporary tax cut. How do you do a temporary tax cut? You don't want to be in a position of raising rates back up again," Harper said.

"But I do think we have to do something to make sure that the middle class is part of the budgetary package that we'll be bringing down, and that they're part of the recovery plan."
Harper reiterated plans to significantly boost infrastructure spending nationwide, but said he doesn't want to see long-run structural deficits.

"It is a time for the government to go in, borrow that money, put it to use, make sure the economic activity and confidence is sustained through what we think will be a difficult year or two," he said.

"The vast majority of spending that we will do, we will make sure is short term," he added. "We'll try and make sure there's not a big tail and we're not having deficits once the economy recovers. "

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Financial Update January 13th,2009

Stocks tumble as oil falls on economic worries- AP So much for the Santa Claus rally. A run-up at the end of the 2008 that had some investors hoping the worst was over is crumbling on fear that corporate profit reports arriving this week will signal a recovery in the economy is further off than Wall Street had hoped.

· TSX -291.85 to 8793.27
· DOW -125.21 pts to 8473.97
· Dollar 0.8228 USD
· Oil -$3.29to $37.59US per barrel.
· Gold -$34.00 to $821.00 USD per ounce

· www.bankofcanada.ca/en/rates/bond-look.html Canadian bond prices

New home prices continue drop

Jamie Sturgeon, Financial Post Published: Monday, January 12, 2009

New home prices fell in November for the second consecutive month-to-month decrease, Statistics Canada said Monday. The average price on a new house declined 0.3%, the federal agency said, as demand continued to cool across the national real estate market in the fall. The dip continues the first reverse in home prices in more than a decade, following the 0.4% decline experienced in October. Yet the results varied from region to region, with some markets still witnessing considerable price increases.

St. John's recorded the largest annualized gain, with the value of a new home up more than 25% from 2007, a clip that narrowly outpaced Regina.The monthly increase in St. John's was 3.4%.

In a sign that Saskatchewan is beginning to feel the bite of a recession it has largely avoided so far, home prices were flat in Regina in November while in Saskatoon prices continued to come down. New home prices were down 0.5% in Saskatoon "confirming a trend of deceleration in this city," Statscan said. "Builders continued to report difficult market conditions."

The drops continued further west.

New home prices in Edmonton recorded a 12-month plunge of 7.9% - largest monthly decline since May 1985. Prices dipped 2.5% in Calgary. On a monthly basis, prices fell 0.3% in Edmonton and 1.1% in Calgary between October and November.On the West Coast, builders cut new home prices in Vancouver by 1.7% in November, a trend continued in Victoria, Statscan said.

Markets in Eastern Canada, which have shown more stable supply-demand conditions, continued to rise, Statscan said. Compared with November 2007, contractors' selling prices were 4.3% higher in Ottawa and 2.0% higher in Toronto.In Québec, the 12-month growth rate was 5.4%, while in Montréal, prices increased 4.6%, the agency said. No market east of Saskatchewan experienced a month-to-month decline in new home prices.

Friday, January 9, 2009

Financial Update January 9th,2009

Financials, energy boost TSX

· TSX +100.26pts (Reuters) aftera late-session burst with the materials group boosted by strength in gold-mining issues as bullion prices rose. Financials and energy were also higher
· DOW -27.24pts
· Dollar +1.31c to $.84.85US.
· Oil -$.93to $41.70US per barrel.
· Gold +$12.80 to $854.50US per ounce a rally sparked by a weaker greenback as the U.S. deficit is expected to balloon on proposed economic stimulus packages aimed at lifting the economy from recession. "Gold is a very good refuge and safe haven," said John Ing, president of Maison Placements Canada.

· www.bankofcanada.ca/en/rates/bond-look.html Canadian bond prices

v Banking regulator won't boost capital targets Doug Alexander, Bloomberg Canada's top banking regulator has no plans to raise the required levels of capital needed to be retained by the country's lenders, Superintendent Julie Dickson said.

"The Canadian banking system remains very well capitalized," Ms. Dickson, who heads the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions, said during the conference hosted by RBC Capital Markets in Toronto. The regulator has no plans to raise its current targets, and "doing so now would also amplify the economic downturn," she said.

Canadian banks have raised about $6.7-billion (US$5.6-billion) in share sales in the past two months to bolster their balance sheets amid a global recession. Canadian lenders reported regulatory capital of 8.9% to 10.5% of assets at the end of October, above OSFI's 7% target. The so-called Tier 1 capital ratio is a measure of a bank's financial strength based on its equity as a percentage of risk-weighted assets. OSFI has a target for total capital ratio, which is 10%.
v TORONTO (Reuters) - The Bank of Canada hinted on Thursday that it would continue to lower interest rates this year but gave no indication of how deep the cuts would be as the global recession hits the Canadian economy. Deputy Governor Pierre Duguay said the bank continued to monitor developments in world markets to decide its next moves, amid market expectations of a rate cut on January 20.

v .Obama says drastic action needed to save U.S. economy Sheldon Alberts, Canwest News Washington Correspondent

WASHINGTON -- Appealing to an American public confronted daily with worsening economic news, U.S. president-elect Barack Obama warned Thursday the nation is headed for years of severe recession unless he wins approval for an unprecedented government stimulus package in the first weeks of his presidency.

Intensifying his campaign to build support for the economic rescue package, Mr. Obama said the U.S. government may soon be unable to prevent a long-lasting crisis without a huge injection of new spending and tax cuts to jolt the economy back to life.

"I don't believe it's too late to change course, but it will be, if we don't take dramatic action as soon as possible," Mr. Obama said at George Mason University in Fairfax, Va.

"If nothing is done, this recession could linger for years. The unemployment rate could reach double digits. Our economy could fall $1 trillion short of its full capacity. . . . In short, a bad situation could become dramatically worse."

It was the starkest language Obama has used to describe the deepening crisis, and was aimed at persuading Americans no entity other than the federal government is capable of restoring the country's economic health.

He was also hoping the dire message would increase pressure on Congress -- particularly Republicans and conservative Democrats - not to throw up roadblocks to block the passage of stimulus legislation by early February.

"For every day we wait or point fingers or drag our feet, more Americans will lose their jobs," he said. "And our nation will sink deeper into a crisis that, at some point, we may not be able to reverse."

Mr. Obama's speech comes a day after the Congressional Budget Office announced the 2009 U.S. budget deficit will soar to a record $1.2 trillion in 2009. And that's before the passage of the stimulus package, which is expected to cost close to $800 billion.

New U.S. unemployment statistics are due Friday, with predictions that another half million jobs were lost in December.

"There is no doubt that the cost of this plan will be considerable. It will certainly add to the budget deficit in the short term. But equally certain are the consequences of doing little or nothing at all, for that will lead to an even greater deficit of jobs, incomes and confidence in our economy," Mr. Obama said.

"Only government can break the vicious cycles that are crippling our economy -- where a lack of spending leads to lost jobs, which leads to even less spending, where an inability to lend and borrow stops growth and leads to even less credit."

Several polls have shown Americans, while deeply concerned about job safety and fearful of a potential depression, are also increasingly wary about the effectiveness of large-scale government stimulus plans.

There has been a widespread public perception that the $700-billion bailout of Wall Street last fall was unsuccessful, insofar as the nation's credit markets have remained exceedingly tight, and consumer loans remain difficult to obtain.

Mr. Obama pledged a "sweeping effort" to halt the nation's foreclosure crisis, and said he would use a "full arsenal of tools to get credit flowing again."

Mr. Obama offered no details about the precise cost of the stimulus package, though it's expected to include $300 billion in tax cuts. An initial proposal could be presented to Congress by week's end.

The initial reaction to Obama's plea from Republicans on Capitol Hill was mostly positive, although the co-operative tone was laced with expressions of caution about the size of the stimulus.

Senator Mitch McConnell, the Senate minority leader, said Obama must remain mindful of the "eye-popping" federal deficit.

"Given the deficit numbers, it really ought not to be a trillion-dollar spending bill. I think we can start by saying that," said Mr. McConnell.

Representative John Boehner, the GOP leader in the House of Representatives, said he was looking for Mr. Obama to find "the right balance" between jump-starting the economy and risking unending deficits.

"Yes, our economy needs help. But at the end of the day, how -- how much debt are we going to pile on future generations?" Boehner said.

Still, Mr. McConnell said he was encouraged with Obama's efforts to reach out to Republicans.
"It's clear to me from listening to the president, the new president, that he wants to include Republican ideas," he said.

Mr. Obama sought to allay fears his promised stimulus package will be hijacked by lawmakers eager to load up legislation with pork-barrel projects or wasteful spending.

"It is not just another public-works program," Mr. Obama said.

While some of the stimulus will be aimed at rebuilding crumbling transportation infrastructure, it will place heavy focus on modernizing the nation's health-care system and creating tens of thousands of "green jobs," he said.

The plan will include a goal to double the national output of alternative energy in three years, computerize medical records, and retrofit federal government buildings.
Most of the three million jobs the plan is designed to create will be in the private sector, Mr. Obama said.

"I understand that some might be skeptical of this plan. Our government has already spent a good deal of money, but we haven't yet seen that translate into more jobs or higher incomes or renewed confidence in our economy," he said. "We'll invest in what works."